Monday, October 7, 2024
Civics
Gov-Politics

Why You Can’t Predict Polling Error in Advance

The 538 team discusses how polls have underestimated Democratic and Republican support in the past and how unpredictable the direction of polling error can be.

We are in the frantic final weeks of the presidential campaign, which means Americans are obsessing over polling data more than usual. At 538, we cover this stuff year-round. So today on the show, we’re going back to the fundamentals. It doesn’t matter whether you’re a seasoned political hack or a bright-eyed newcomer: Everyone can benefit from our 10 Essentials Of Following Polls.

Download the full audio podcast episode

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This video is from FiveThirtyEight’s original YouTube channel.

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