Editor: Speaker Mike Johnson hasn’t been willing to put the bill for Ukraine aid on the floor for a vote, even though it was passed in the Senate and sent to the House. Corporate Republicans have been pushing him to do it while MAGA Republicans, like Marjorie Taylor Greene, are against it.
He’s refusing to allow a vote because he knows it will pass. That’s a terrible outcome for two reasons
- Marjorie Taylor Greene will oust him as Speaker
- Trump doesn’t want it to pass
MTG is America First and she wants to please Trump. But why is Trump so against sending aid to Ukraine? Victor Orban. When he was visiting Mar-a-Lago, Trump promised him he wouldn’t support aid to Ukraine and he needs Orban to help him destroy democracy the same way Orban has been destroying it in Hungary.
The reason that some Republicans are against it isn’t just Trump. It’s Putin. Just recently, two Republican OGs were on CNN and Meet the Press talking about the fact that some of their colleagues were spreading Russian talking points on the floor in Congress. One talking point is that the war is over NATO and Russia doesn’t want another country on its border to join the alliance. I can’t recall what the other point was, but hopefully it will come to me before I finish this post. Of course, if you’re reading this, it never did.
I hope the Republicans that support this bill can pressure Mike Johnson into putting it on the floor soon. I don’t want to see the lights go out on another democracy. Israel’s light is fading thanks to Netanyahu and Hungary isn’t much of one anymore.
Here is an expert on global issues who provides more information on a topic that she knows much more about than I do.
As Russia’s war on Ukraine continues without a clear end in sight, Ukrainians are facing a cold reality. While President Joe Biden is in close contact with Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Biden’s support of Zelenskyy does not necessarily signal continued financial support of Ukraine by the U.S. government.
The U.S. has been the largest single donor backing Ukraine since Russian troops invaded the country in February 2022. Since then, the U.S. has sent Ukraine approximately US$113 billion in a combination of cash, military supplies and machinery, as well as food and other humanitarian supplies.
Biden has asked Congress to approve another $95 billion in aid for Ukraine, Israel and other allies. About $60 billion of this would be spent on Ukraine.
While the Senate passed this foreign aid bill in February 2024, it is stalled in the House of Representatives. Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson has not allowed a vote on the measure.
Zelenskyy laid out the stakes for continued U.S. support on April 8, 2024, saying, “If the Congress doesn’t help Ukraine, Ukraine will lose the war.”
Russia has increased its bombing of Ukraine in recent months, and the battle lines between Russia and Ukraine have moved little in the past year.
It is not entirely clear when and how the House will vote on Ukraine. Still, as a scholar of Eastern Europe, I think there are a few important reasons why the U.S. is unlikely to cut funding to Ukraine.
Republicans are divided over Ukraine aid
Johnson is facing pressure to delay voting on the Ukraine foreign aid bill for a few reasons. One major factor is fighting between Republicans, who hold a slim majority in the House.
While some centrist Republican politicians support Ukraine funding and are pushing for a vote on the foreign aid package, others – hard-right Republicans – want a bill that prioritizes what they say are American interests, meaning more of a focus on domestic U.S. problems.
Another issue is the rising threat of other Republicans trying to remove Johnson from his leadership role.
U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia filed a motion on March 22, 2024, to prompt a vote that could push Johnson out of his House leadership position if he tries to advance an aid package.
Delays on Ukraine benefit Putin
As the House continues to stall on a vote, Ukraine is rationing ammunition and supplies. This, in turn, provides an opportunity for Russia to strengthen its arsenal.
Delays with foreign aid to Ukraine give Putin time to move forward with plans to purchase ballistic missiles from Iran. National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby expressed concerns in early January 2024 that Russia was close to acquiring short-range ballistic weapons from Iran.
Russia already buys drones from Iran and ballistic missiles from North Korea.
In February, U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan pointed out that Ukrainian forces lost a major center of resistance in the east of Ukraine called Avdiivka to Russia because of a shortage of ammunition.
Without foreign aid from the U.S., Ukraine will face a strategic disadvantage that could lead to Russia winning the war. That could lead to Russia increasing its threats on nearby NATO countries.
The US needs Europe to compete with China
There are other reasons why many experts think it helps the U.S. to back Ukraine. One factor is U.S. global power competition with China.
Russian and Chinese leaders declared a military and political partnership days before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. They announced on April 9, 2024, that they want to find ways to strengthen their joint security work across Asia and Europe.
U.S. political and military leaders have noted that supporting Ukraine and pushing back against Russia is one clear way to deter China from strengthening its global political power and military reach.
Navy Adm. Samuel J. Paparo said in February 2024 that Russia’s potential loss in Ukraine is “a deterrence in the western Pacific and directly reassures partners.”
The admiral said that China is studying the Ukraine invasion for its own purposes, in order to “effect a short, sharp conflict that presents a fait accompli to all of the world.” He called for the U.S. to continue to fund Ukraine’s war.
The U.S. needs its long-standing allies in Europe to help push back against China – and deterrence is only as effective as the size of the force doing the deterring.
Ely Ratner, the U.S. assistant secretary of defense for Indo-Pacific security affairs, recently explained this principle and how it relates to China: “We believe deterrence is real and deterrence is strong, and we’re working every day to keep it that way.”
Foreign aid benefits US arms industry
Most of America’s military aid to Ukraine consists of arms and ammunition from existing U.S. stockpiles. If Congress approves an additional $60 billion for Ukraine, more than half of this money would go to U.S. factories that manufacture missiles and munitions.
In December 2023, Biden signed a U.S. defense policy bill that authorizes a record-high $886 billion in spending from July 2023 through June 2024. This includes a 5.2% pay raise for troops, $11.5 billion in support of initiatives to help deter China and $800 million to support Ukraine’s counteroffensive war.
But it also allows for the purchasing of new ships, aircraft and other types of ammunition. For defense stocks, that means a promising start to 2024, as the military will be likely to boost defense contractors’ revenues looking to restock supplies shipped to Ukraine.
Americans continue to support Ukraine aid
A majority of Americans still favor U.S. support of Ukraine, though about half of Republicans said in December 2023 that the U.S. is giving too much money to the country.
Even though politicians do not always follow public opinion, there are clear reasons why it is not in the U.S.’s best interests to cut funding to Ukraine.
The article featured in this post is from The Conversation and republished here under a Creative Commons License. Read the original article.
