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Five ThirtyEight
Posts
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Podcast: The Most Valuable Data Point
We asked 11 very smart people just one question: What is the most valuable data point you’re watching to understand this election? These are their...
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Are Polls That Use AI Chatbots Even Polls?
The 538 team plays another round of "Good or Bad Use of Polling” to discuss how an experimental polling company, Aaru, uses AI chatbots to...
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Why You Can’t Predict Polling Error in Advance
The 538 team discusses how polls have underestimated Democratic and Republican support in the past and how unpredictable the direction of polling error can be.
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What Does Early Voting Data Reveal? | 538 Politics Podcast
The 538 team discusses whether early voting data is a good indicator of who will win the 2024 presidential election.
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How important is identity to Black voters? | 538 Politics podcast
University of Maryland’s Chryl Laird and Pew Research Center’s Kiana Cox discuss data on "linked fate" across interracial voters and voters of different political ideologies.
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Does the Taylor Swift effect include voting? | 538 Politics podcast
The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik discusses how Taylor Swift’s endorsement of Kamala Harris has affected voter registration and the presidential race.
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What does the upcoming presidential debate mean for Harris? | 538 Politics Podcast
Election Day is exactly two months away, meaning the final stretch of the presidential campaign is upon us. On Tuesday’s show, we assessed the current...
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Does Enthusiasm for Candidates Matter in This Presidential Race? | 538 Politics Podcast
Galen speaks with Mary Radcliffe and Geoffrey Skelley about what has changed and what hasn’t in the newly reshaped 2024 presidential race.
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Does Harris Have Enough Time to Campaign? | 538 Politics Podcast
In this weekend installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins to talk about Vice President Harris’s possible nomination.
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Why Aren’t Republicans Talking About Ukraine? | 538 Politics Podcast
Senior editor and senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich joins the 538 Politics podcast to discuss the GOP’s foreign policy messaging at the RNC.